Here is the tcpdump trying to connect run on the remote router (DD-WRT) that shoss my IP (home WAN) connecting to its IP (WAN).
# tcpdump -i any -vn udp port 43049
tcpdump: listening on any, link-type LINUX_SLL (Linux cooked), capture size 262144 bytes
14:24:25.354182 ethertype IPv4, IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 44023, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:25.354182 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 44023, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:25.357519 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 44023, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:25.359296 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 44023, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:30.637016 ethertype IPv4, IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 63801, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:30.637016 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 63801, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:30.639872 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 63801, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:30.641267 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 63801, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:35.804361 ethertype IPv4, IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 22684, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:35.804361 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 22684, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:35.807219 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 22684, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:35.808615 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 22684, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:41.104174 ethertype IPv4, IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 18263, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:41.104174 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 51, id 18263, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > xxx.xxx.175.0.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:41.107031 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 18263, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148
14:24:41.108426 IP (tos 0x20, ttl 50, id 18263, offset 0, flags [none], proto UDP (17), length 176)
xxx.xxx.108.23.56302 > 192.168.1.120.43049: UDP, length 148